Few and Far Between
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (14 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Dutch): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
858 | 1164 | 15% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
1041 | 838 | 76% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-08-31 | Lost |
1175 | 1231 | 42% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
983 | 1026 | 44% | 2017-12-28 | Lost |
1113 | 983 | 68% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
983 | 1113 | 32% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
1178 | 1429 | 19% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1075.4 has a 46.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).