Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Dutch): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
1153 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
919 | 977 | 42% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
1002 | 989 | 52% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
1006 | 973 | 55% | 2012-12-22 | Won |
887 | 952 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-22 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.1 vs 986.6 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).