Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 148 (39 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 78
Defender wins (American): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 983 | 42% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
1087 | 1004 | 62% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
1031 | 983 | 57% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
1115 | 1084 | 54% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
959 | 971 | 48% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
968 | 1051 | 38% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
876 | 1175 | 15% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1175 | 27% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
1197 | 991 | 77% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
890 | 1008 | 34% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
864 | 994 | 32% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
1242 | 1141 | 64% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
1087 | 1133 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
987 | 1109 | 33% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
975 | 1008 | 45% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
1307 | 1098 | 77% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
1307 | 1098 | 77% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
959 | 763 | 76% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
1139 | 1043 | 63% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
1327 | 1047 | 83% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
994 | 1128 | 32% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
1062 | 1066 | 49% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
1019 | 864 | 71% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
1128 | 1019 | 65% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
916 | 1108 | 25% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1033.7 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).