Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (38 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 83
Defender wins (German): 71
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
1176 | 1327 | 30% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
1009 | 1049 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
899 | 942 | 44% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
1225 | 1014 | 77% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
989 | 1284 | 15% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
1307 | 992 | 86% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
992 | 975 | 52% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
1109 | 1022 | 62% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
1026 | 1003 | 53% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
1273 | 1030 | 80% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
983 | 1003 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
1013 | 1003 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
935 | 1087 | 29% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
1067 | 1037 | 54% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
994 | 849 | 70% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
1245 | 1037 | 77% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
1037 | 849 | 75% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
989 | 1150 | 28% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
1001 | 1068 | 40% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
1108 | 1138 | 46% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
1261 | 1360 | 36% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
1307 | 1013 | 84% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
989 | 837 | 71% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
1178 | 1307 | 32% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
925 | 1042 | 34% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1023 | 84% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
1093 | 1307 | 23% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
1261 | 1108 | 71% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1101.2 vs 1065.2 has a 55.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).