Cat's Cradle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (10 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1292 | 1254 | 55% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
1204 | 1271 | 40% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-07-08 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2012-03-30 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-05-16 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1087.4 vs 1095.4 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).