Where the Winter Lingers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (15 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1002 | 1012 | 49% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
865 | 916 | 43% | 2022-03-13 | Won |
925 | 959 | 45% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
1097 | 1018 | 61% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1141 | 1043 | 64% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
925 | 982 | 42% | 2021-11-02 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
1178 | 1183 | 49% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-16 | Tied |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
1040 | 950 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1041 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).