From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
1026 | 1008 | 53% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
1011 | 1052 | 44% | 2023-05-01 | Won |
1028 | 994 | 55% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
1010 | 1063 | 42% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
996 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-05-30 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
1044 | 1131 | 38% | 2016-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1084.1 has a 41.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).