Capital Punishment
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2018-10-21 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2012-06-25 | Lost |
1079 | 1225 | 30% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
1116 | 1167 | 43% | 2011-12-17 | Won |
1307 | 1098 | 77% | 2011-11-05 | Lost |
930 | 937 | 49% | 2011-09-04 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-01-25 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1051.2 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).