The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1037 | 1144 | 35% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
979 | 929 | 57% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
992 | 934 | 58% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
917 | 1068 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
1125 | 1114 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
1142 | 1285 | 31% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
1176 | 970 | 77% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1034 | 953 | 61% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
977 | 748 | 79% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1024.4 vs 1047.6 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).