The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1129 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
889 | 1099 | 23% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
889 | 1099 | 23% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
1008 | 931 | 61% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
1002 | 925 | 61% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
1010 | 1069 | 42% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
1057 | 1040 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1135 | 1129 | 51% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
1073 | 1155 | 38% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
1275 | 1004 | 83% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1045.1 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).