Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (31 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 52
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
1019 | 1168 | 30% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
937 | 961 | 47% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
1058 | 894 | 72% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
916 | 1045 | 32% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
916 | 983 | 40% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
1169 | 1197 | 46% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
881 | 909 | 46% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
976 | 1109 | 32% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1087 | 1142 | 42% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
977 | 850 | 68% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
1197 | 949 | 81% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
1095 | 1009 | 62% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
1111 | 1095 | 52% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
925 | 995 | 40% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
1067 | 1083 | 48% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
980 | 1097 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
1087 | 1105 | 47% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
1106 | 1360 | 19% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
956 | 1105 | 30% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
1360 | 1115 | 80% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
821 | 977 | 29% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
1327 | 1042 | 84% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
1174 | 1307 | 32% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1307 | 23% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1049.4 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).