Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
925 | 994 | 40% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1109 | 43% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
1158 | 1008 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
830 | 959 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
1108 | 919 | 75% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1090 | 959 | 68% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1012.3 vs 1007.5 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).