The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1312 | 1285 | 54% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
1115 | 887 | 79% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
884 | 1011 | 32% | 2015-05-16 | Lost |
980 | 1079 | 36% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
1087 | 858 | 79% | 2013-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1030 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).