Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (20 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
1168 | 1017 | 70% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
993 | 943 | 57% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
1008 | 861 | 70% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
978 | 1040 | 41% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
947 | 1016 | 40% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
1142 | 989 | 71% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
1087 | 1051 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
1059 | 1115 | 42% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
943 | 1137 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
1193 | 987 | 77% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1040.1 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).