The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (15 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1095 | 37% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
1044 | 1032 | 52% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
1153 | 1139 | 52% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
1003 | 800 | 76% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
930 | 1006 | 39% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
1108 | 940 | 72% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
948 | 1083 | 31% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1087 | 998 | 63% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
977 | 945 | 55% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1029.1 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).