Operation Natzmer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (21 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1115 | 1055 | 59% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1115 | 1055 | 59% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1115 | 1055 | 59% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1115 | 1055 | 59% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
964 | 987 | 47% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
987 | 1063 | 39% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
981 | 1013 | 45% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
1078 | 1073 | 51% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
983 | 1040 | 42% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
945 | 1429 | 6% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
1045 | 1013 | 55% | 2020-04-17 | Lost |
1026 | 983 | 56% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
983 | 1002 | 47% | 2017-02-02 | Won |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-10-20 | Lost |
1429 | 1147 | 84% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
978 | 983 | 49% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1072.5 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).