Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1128 | 35% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1162 | 1146 | 52% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
940 | 1038 | 36% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
944 | 1234 | 16% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1068 | 1065 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1077 | 1193 | 34% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
973 | 1014 | 44% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.9 vs 1116.9 has a 37.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).