Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (12 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 1204 | 18% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
922 | 1037 | 34% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
1062 | 929 | 68% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
1167 | 1095 | 60% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
1110 | 1095 | 52% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
817 | 977 | 28% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 1093.3 has a 37.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).