Forcing the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-12-30 | Won |
1063 | 1156 | 37% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1005 vs 1142.3 has a 31.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).