The Island
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (15 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 926 | 62% | 2021-04-06 | Tied |
1178 | 1051 | 68% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-10-05 | Lost |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2018-10-30 | Tied |
1006 | 881 | 67% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-12-21 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-12-21 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-16 | Won |
1001 | 1225 | 22% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
1360 | 943 | 92% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
1207 | 1177 | 54% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2015-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1024.6 has a 53.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).