Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (16 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 976 | 55% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
919 | 961 | 44% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
1087 | 981 | 65% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
1307 | 1138 | 73% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
925 | 1001 | 39% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
925 | 1119 | 25% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
994 | 917 | 61% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
989 | 1138 | 30% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1026.2 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).