Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Australian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1156 | 1063 | 63% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
951 | 1010 | 42% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
1014 | 1015 | 50% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
1050 | 939 | 65% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
887 | 989 | 36% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1074.5 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).