The Mubo Decision
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (21 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
994 | 949 | 56% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1117 | 949 | 72% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
1058 | 1028 | 54% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
1026 | 1197 | 27% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
925 | 895 | 54% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
840 | 977 | 31% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
1087 | 989 | 64% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
938 | 1160 | 22% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2015-02-22 | Won |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2015-01-07 | Won |
1065 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
945 | 1087 | 31% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
1091 | 1050 | 56% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1034.5 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).