A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (British): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
895 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1042 | 1045 | 50% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1203 | 1153 | 57% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1087 | 1009 | 61% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
984 | 1225 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
939 | 989 | 43% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1168 | 887 | 83% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1108 | 956 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1020.9 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).