Probe on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 1013 | 45% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
1118 | 1083 | 55% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1266 | 994 | 83% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
1049 | 1092 | 44% | 2016-06-26 | Won |
849 | 1049 | 24% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
978 | 1050 | 40% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1047 has a 49.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).