Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (20 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 21
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1360 | 1086 | 83% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
1327 | 1175 | 71% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1296 | 1175 | 67% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1057 | 1234 | 27% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
968 | 938 | 54% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
948 | 983 | 45% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
1056 | 954 | 64% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
987 | 1083 | 37% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
1175 | 1027 | 70% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
1049 | 1024 | 54% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
1136 | 1225 | 37% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
974 | 1307 | 13% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
1164 | 1225 | 41% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
1008 | 991 | 52% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1225 | 1150 | 61% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1085.7 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).