Bedburg Bite
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (33 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 71
Defender wins (German): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1136 | 1097 | 56% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
994 | 1334 | 12% | 2021-12-18 | Lost |
1032 | 1026 | 51% | 2021-04-30 | Lost |
971 | 971 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
989 | 1194 | 24% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
989 | 899 | 63% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
865 | 874 | 49% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
1162 | 1104 | 58% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
956 | 985 | 46% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
986 | 972 | 52% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
881 | 986 | 35% | 2019-08-24 | Tied |
1194 | 1009 | 74% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
1085 | 1031 | 58% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
1085 | 1031 | 58% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1008 | 1055 | 43% | 2018-02-21 | Won |
861 | 1136 | 17% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
861 | 861 | 50% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
1082 | 951 | 68% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
1104 | 1110 | 49% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
1124 | 956 | 72% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
1126 | 1128 | 50% | 2017-01-03 | Lost |
1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2016-12-04 | Won |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2016-10-20 | Won |
1206 | 1106 | 64% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
1254 | 986 | 82% | 2016-08-08 | Lost |
1086 | 1350 | 18% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
1100 | 927 | 73% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
1194 | 1149 | 56% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
918 | 1078 | 28% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2016-04-23 | Won |
1207 | 942 | 82% | 2016-01-24 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1037.8 has a 52.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).