Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
881 | 1058 | 27% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
1115 | 1095 | 53% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1039.5 has a 47.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).