Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (7 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
816 | 941 | 33% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
970 | 959 | 52% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
1198 | 1135 | 59% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.6 vs 1028.9 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).