The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (27 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
1033 | 954 | 61% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1159 | 1019 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
984 | 1029 | 44% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
1063 | 800 | 82% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
1160 | 1208 | 43% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
967 | 1011 | 44% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
1090 | 1109 | 47% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
957 | 1063 | 35% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1028 | 963 | 59% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
895 | 905 | 49% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1045 | 1142 | 36% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
1307 | 931 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
1133 | 1063 | 60% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
1160 | 1279 | 34% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
1026 | 995 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
961 | 927 | 55% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
1327 | 991 | 87% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1008.2 has a 56.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).