First Timers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (37 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 53
Defender wins (German): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
892 | 920 | 46% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
1028 | 1022 | 51% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
1360 | 1016 | 88% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
780 | 865 | 38% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-08-25 | Won |
1067 | 954 | 66% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
1041 | 958 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1051 | 1178 | 32% | 2020-12-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1087 | 46% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
1018 | 1157 | 31% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
970 | 1175 | 24% | 2020-08-18 | Lost |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
1015 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
970 | 992 | 47% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
989 | 1138 | 30% | 2019-08-28 | Lost |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
1188 | 1142 | 57% | 2019-01-28 | Won |
1205 | 1284 | 39% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
986 | 892 | 63% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
1133 | 1063 | 60% | 2019-01-06 | Won |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2018-12-29 | Won |
1264 | 1360 | 37% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
1100 | 1197 | 36% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
1051 | 1115 | 41% | 2018-12-08 | Tied |
911 | 1012 | 36% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
961 | 929 | 55% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
929 | 917 | 52% | 2018-11-18 | Lost |
1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-10-21 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2018-10-20 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
1058 | 1028 | 54% | 2018-10-12 | Won |
1106 | 1225 | 34% | 2018-09-10 | Won |
800 | 1003 | 24% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
890 | 1005 | 34% | 2018-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1044.2 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).