Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1065 | 1056 | 51% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
1144 | 1128 | 52% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
1327 | 1286 | 56% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
917 | 1035 | 34% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
1056 | 1171 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
952 | 1144 | 25% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1037 | 994 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1192 | 1088 | 65% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
1052 | 929 | 67% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
1088 | 1092 | 49% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
1037 | 1043 | 49% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
1176 | 1327 | 30% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
1171 | 799 | 89% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
1351 | 780 | 96% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
990 | 906 | 62% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1079.3 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).