Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 977 | 50% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
1154 | 1360 | 23% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
1245 | 1314 | 40% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1048 | 1314 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1011 | 1115 | 35% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
978 | 1098 | 33% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
1070 | 1063 | 51% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
951 | 1327 | 10% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
1004 | 940 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1171 | 1060 | 65% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1058 | 929 | 68% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
1028 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
992 | 1044 | 43% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
1079 | 1314 | 21% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1035 | 1088 | 42% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
904 | 944 | 44% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1119.6 has a 39.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).