Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 4
Defender wins (Free French): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
976 | 1045 | 40% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
1133 | 1148 | 48% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
1021 | 990 | 54% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1096.8 has a 38.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).