Breakthrough in the Arctic
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 978 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
944 | 885 | 58% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1135 | 43% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
920 | 929 | 49% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2023-12-23 | Won |
982 | 1164 | 26% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1209 | 1327 | 34% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
951 | 1044 | 37% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
1166 | 949 | 78% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1181 | 1314 | 32% | 2023-06-10 | Tied |
1026 | 1008 | 53% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
1025 | 1314 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1360 | 1016 | 88% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
1092 | 1171 | 39% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
804 | 1166 | 11% | 2023-02-22 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2023-02-16 | Lost |
1166 | 804 | 89% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
1314 | 1079 | 79% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1086.6 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).