The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
1145 | 1115 | 54% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
1159 | 1292 | 32% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
1019 | 991 | 54% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1070.8 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).