The Road to Gora
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (7 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
984 | 924 | 59% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
947 | 984 | 45% | 2014-01-15 | Lost |
936 | 1063 | 32% | 2002-01-17 | Won |
1087 | 1117 | 46% | 1997-05-04 | Won |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 1996-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 990 has a 54.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).