The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (6 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
890 | 1017 | 32% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
892 | 1063 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 978.3 vs 1033.5 has a 42.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).