St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (3 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
952 | 1115 | 28% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
1000 | 992 | 51% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 968.7 vs 1086 has a 33.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).