The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (7 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 984 | 41% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2019-11-16 | Tied |
1019 | 977 | 56% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
1085 | 989 | 63% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-09-08 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1006.4 has a 56.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).