The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 198 (9 on the archive and 189 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 90
Defender wins (German): 108
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1160 | 804 | 89% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1011 | 1016 | 49% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
961 | 1229 | 18% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
1041 | 1115 | 40% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
1087 | 1082 | 51% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1059.2 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).