Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (17 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1194 | 1157 | 55% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
1160 | 951 | 77% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
994 | 991 | 50% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
1327 | 916 | 91% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
1109 | 1068 | 56% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
994 | 976 | 53% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
1049 | 1131 | 38% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
920 | 924 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
1147 | 994 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
991 | 1197 | 23% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
1063 | 1089 | 46% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
1149 | 1063 | 62% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
925 | 1119 | 25% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1048.8 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).