An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
1009 | 999 | 51% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
1063 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
1063 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
1000 | 977 | 53% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
701 | 1108 | 9% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1014.4 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).