Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (20 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1083 | 42% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1037 | 1029 | 51% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
954 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
887 | 1138 | 19% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
940 | 1108 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
1327 | 928 | 91% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
1039 | 1307 | 18% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
1307 | 1315 | 49% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
1108 | 1014 | 63% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
1360 | 1283 | 61% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
1197 | 991 | 77% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1058.5 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).