A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 12
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 1118 | 42% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
980 | 997 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
862 | 977 | 34% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
1054 | 1087 | 45% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 988.5 vs 1093.5 has a 35.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).