Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
919 | 1044 | 33% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
1160 | 917 | 80% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
1160 | 804 | 89% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
984 | 1002 | 47% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
890 | 890 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
912 | 1115 | 24% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
1003 | 892 | 65% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
958 | 972 | 48% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
1063 | 892 | 73% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
977 | 887 | 63% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
984 | 1092 | 35% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
984 | 881 | 64% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 969.9 has a 54.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).