The Grist Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (15 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 34
Defender wins (American): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2023-05-06 | Lost |
1160 | 804 | 89% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
1092 | 1090 | 50% | 2020-03-12 | Won |
1005 | 890 | 66% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
917 | 938 | 47% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2018-08-22 | Won |
957 | 1327 | 11% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
1003 | 865 | 69% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
1118 | 1063 | 58% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
870 | 1109 | 20% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
1013 | 945 | 60% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1011.7 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).