A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1222 | 1154 | 60% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
1145 | 1032 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
1032 | 1169 | 31% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
1000 | 881 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
1058 | 1133 | 39% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
1238 | 1189 | 57% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
1150 | 1145 | 51% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
1138 | 964 | 73% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1122.9 vs 1083.4 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).