20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (14 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 800 | 82% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
1156 | 1056 | 64% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
1042 | 984 | 58% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
1058 | 1180 | 33% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
1063 | 1046 | 52% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
800 | 1063 | 18% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
1190 | 1180 | 51% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1105.1 vs 1099.6 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).