The Fugitives
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 251 (36 on the archive and 215 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 99
Defender wins (Russian): 150
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 741 | 82% | 2025-09-07 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1203 | 50% | 2025-02-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 969 | 73% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 924 | 81% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 951 | 1020 | 40% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 996 | 927 | 60% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 892 | 937 | 44% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 960 | 1203 | 20% | 2016-11-16 | Lost |
| 967 | 1051 | 38% | 2015-11-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 890 | 78% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1122 | 861 | 82% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1154 | 1203 | 43% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 973 | 741 | 79% | 2013-08-14 | Won |
| 900 | 1061 | 28% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
| 1062 | 951 | 65% | 2012-11-20 | Won |
| 942 | 1096 | 29% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
| 1065 | 922 | 69% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1045 | 32% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1054 | 1123 | 40% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 933 | 65% | 2008-08-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-10-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2004-12-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1091 | 48% | 1998-08-01 | Lost |
| 893 | 1028 | 31% | 1998-05-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1127 | 46% | 1996-08-13 | Lost |
| 1156 | 911 | 80% | 1994-03-02 | Lost |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 1992-04-11 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1004.3 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).