The Fugitives
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 251 (36 on the archive and 215 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 99
Defender wins (Russian): 150
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2025-02-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 969 | 73% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 925 | 81% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 925 | 1174 | 19% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 996 | 998 | 50% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 892 | 964 | 40% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2016-11-16 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2015-11-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 890 | 78% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1122 | 861 | 82% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1154 | 1181 | 46% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 974 | 764 | 77% | 2013-08-14 | Won |
| 900 | 1063 | 28% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
| 1062 | 951 | 65% | 2012-11-20 | Won |
| 942 | 1096 | 29% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 877 | 74% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
| 932 | 1044 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 933 | 65% | 2008-08-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-10-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2004-12-05 | Won |
| 764 | 1158 | 9% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1090 | 43% | 1998-08-01 | Lost |
| 893 | 1036 | 31% | 1998-05-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1115 | 49% | 1996-08-13 | Lost |
| 1189 | 911 | 83% | 1994-03-02 | Lost |
| 1020 | 985 | 55% | 1992-04-11 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 1013.8 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).